Shifting Momentum in the 2026 Season
After an unexpected five-week hiatus, the 2026 Formula 1 season returned with a bang in Miami. Kimi Antonelli continued his remarkable run, securing his third consecutive victory. This latest triumph has allowed him to leapfrog his Mercedes teammate, George Russell, at the top of the standings. Unsurprisingly, Mercedes remains the clear favorite in the Constructors' Championship betting, though McLaren and Ferrari are actively closing the gap.
The Drivers' Championship Landscape
The betting landscape has undergone significant changes following the Miami Grand Prix. Lando Norris saw his odds improve drastically, moving from +2500 to +400, establishing himself as a serious threat. Meanwhile, George Russell’s odds have adjusted to +225, placing him as the second-choice driver.
Key Contenders
- Kimi Antonelli (+120): Initially an early favorite despite a lack of prior race wins, Antonelli proved his potential by breaking through at the Chinese GP and following it up with another victory in Japan. His recent win in Miami cemented his position as the current leader in the betting markets.
- George Russell (+225): Entering the season as the consensus favorite due to Mercedes' strong preseason performance, Russell started well with a win in Qatar. However, his momentum has cooled slightly relative to his teammate's surge.
- Lando Norris (+400): Market confidence in Norris has surged. His performance in Miami was exceptionally strong, and as many analysts noted, «He was perhaps just a single strategic decision away from securing the victory over Antonelli.»
Constructors' Championship Outlook
While Mercedes continues to hold the pole position in the eyes of bookmakers, the pursuit remains intense. Both McLaren and Ferrari are displaying consistent performance, ensuring that the team title remains a highly contested battle throughout the remainder of the season.