The NFL Draft is defined by unpredictability, where unexpected selections and draft-day slides transform the event into high-stakes drama. This year, the quarterback class is marked by a notable lack of consensus, leaving analysts and talent evaluators with vastly different projections. Beyond the presumptive No. 1 pick, Fernando Mendoza, the landscape shifts significantly, drawing attention to two intriguing prospects: Alabama’s Ty Simpson and LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier.
Shared Profiles and Playing Styles
Both Simpson and Nussmeier share remarkably similar developmental paths. Each spent considerable time behind other starters at their respective SEC programs and were raised by football coaches, which is evident in their sound pocket mechanics. They possess a natural willingness to attack downfield, acting as passers who have been waiting for their opportunity to showcase their abilities. Despite their similarities, their physical profiles raise questions, as both fall below ideal size standards, with Nussmeier measuring in at 6-foot-2 and 203 pounds, and Simpson at 6-foot-1 and 211 pounds at the NFL Scouting Combine.
Ty Simpson: The Processor with Physical Limitations
Simpson’s game is defined by his ability to process information and execute quick-game concepts. When given a clean pocket, he displays impressive zip and accuracy. However, his performance suffers under duress, where his efficiency notably declines.
"His arm strength touches the threshold of 'good,' but he needs more of his body to access it," notes the analysis. When he cannot fully step into his throws, his accuracy tends to waver. This struggle is compounded by his frame; with 10 passes batted at the line of scrimmage in 2025, his height presents a challenge for navigating tight passing windows in the NFL. Despite this, his athleticism and ability to create outside the pocket offer a glimpse into his potential as a functional starter if he can refine his consistency.
Garrett Nussmeier: The Aggressive Gunslinger
Nussmeier approaches the position with a distinct philosophy: putting the football in play regardless of the pressure. He excels at avoiding sacks by releasing the ball quickly, a trait that helped him maintain a high success rate despite varying levels of surrounding talent.
Nussmeier is a true gunslinger who thrives on timing. He is known for throwing routes before his receivers break, maximizing the available space. However, his aggressive style also invites risk, as he occasionally forces the ball into dangerous coverage. His primary concern, much like Simpson's, remains his physical build. Historically, very few quarterbacks weighing 205 pounds or less have sustained long-term success as NFL starters, making both players statistical outliers.
Evaluating the Draft Value
Given the inconsistency and the physical risks associated with both prospects, neither projects as a surefire first-round pick. Analysts suggest that the middle-to-late second round is a more appropriate landing spot.
While their ceilings might be limited, their floors suggest they could develop into solid bridge starters or high-end backups. Between the two, Nussmeier holds a slight edge due to his poise under pressure and his deeper understanding of offensive operation. Ultimately, their success at the professional level will likely depend on the specific offensive scheme and their ability to navigate the physical demands of the league despite their slender frames.